CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 18

Our betting tip for CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 16:00

CD Manchego CR 2.32

X 3.00

CD Tarancon 2.93

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon

The main points for the tip for CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Manchego CR in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Tarancon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $255.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Manchego CR scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, CD Tarancon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon, with CD Manchego CR as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Looking for another bookie to bet on CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon?

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Analysis from CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 11 of January

When the best bet on CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon

Is betting on CD Manchego CR worth it?

🔵 CD Manchego CR: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$44.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $620.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Should you bet on CD Tarancon?

🔴 CD Tarancon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $463.20
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Manchego CR
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CD Manchego CR, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CD Manchego CR.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CD Manchego CR.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Manchego CR x CD Tarancon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.