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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad Betting tips for February 2 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 21h00 Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Marathon CD Marathon
PREDICTION CD Marathon wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad Betting tips for February 2 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
21:00
CD Marathon CD Marathon
1.54
X
3.60
CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad
5.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad:

🔮 CD Marathon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Marathon, you can win up to $770.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Marathon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Real Sociedad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against CD Real Sociedad, CD Marathon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 CD Real Sociedad matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Marathon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CD Real Sociedad conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CD Marathon conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against CD Real Sociedad.
👉 CD Marathon has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against CD Real Sociedad playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 2 of February

🏟️ CD Marathon X CD Real Sociedad – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 CD Marathon – Winning probability: 71.20% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.39% | Fair line: 6.95
🔴 CD Real Sociedad – Winning probability: 14.41% | Fair line: 6.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Marathon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255527 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad

Is it worth betting on CD Marathon?

🔵 CD Marathon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $383.40;
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$93.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.

Should you bet on CD Real Sociedad?

🔴 CD Real Sociedad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Marathon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CD Marathon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 CD Marathon.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 CD Real Sociedad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Marathon x CD Real Sociedad

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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