CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago Betting tips for April 12 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025
22:00

CD Mexiquense
3.00

X
3.59

FC Santiago

2.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago

The main points for the tip for CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mexiquense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Santiago in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $73.0.
👉 FC Santiago did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against FC Santiago, CD Mexiquense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, FC Santiago has not lost any of them.
👉 CD Mexiquense has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against FC Santiago playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago for the Mexico Segunda Division – 12 of April

🏟️ CD Mexiquense X FC Santiago – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 CD Mexiquense – Winning probability: 24.21% | Fair line: 4.13
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.62% | Fair line: 4.23
🔴 FC Santiago – Winning probability: 52.17% | Fair line: 1.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Mexiquense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Mexiquense and FC Santiago.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301731 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago

Is betting on CD Mexiquense worth it?

🔵 CD Mexiquense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 240 times – profiting $480.00;
And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $621.60
And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$138.40.

Should you bet on FC Santiago?

🔴 FC Santiago: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$40.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Mexiquense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 CD Mexiquense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 CD Mexiquense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Santiago.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Mexiquense x FC Santiago

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.