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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Monte x CD Bezana Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 17h30 Spain Tercera Group 3
CD Monte CD Monte
PREDICTION CD Bezana Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
CD Bezana CD Bezana
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Monte x CD Bezana Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for CD Monte x CD Bezana, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
17:30
CD Monte CD Monte
3.84
X
3.40
CD Bezana CD Bezana
1.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Monte x CD Bezana:

🔮 CD Bezana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Bezana, you can win up to $890.00!

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Important information for your tip for CD Monte x CD Bezana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Monte in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Bezana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $747.0.
👉 CD Monte did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Bezana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 CD Monte matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Monte conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD Bezana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, CD Bezana has not lost any of them.
👉 It is not a good time for CD Monte as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Monte x CD Bezana for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 1 of December

🏟️ CD Monte X CD Bezana – Spain Tercera Group 3
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 CD Monte – Winning probability: 13.88% | Fair line: 7.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.22% | Fair line: 3.96
🔴 CD Bezana – Winning probability: 60.90% | Fair line: 1.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Monte
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Monte x CD Bezana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Monte x CD Bezana

Should you bet on CD Monte?

🔵 CD Monte: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $397.60;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$462.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Bezana?

🔴 CD Bezana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $475.80
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$85.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Monte x CD Bezana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Monte
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Monte x CD Bezana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 CD Monte, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 CD Monte.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Monte x CD Bezana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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