CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey
📅 30/10/2024 18:30 |
CD Mostoles URJC 10.00 |
X 4.26 |
Burgos 1.33 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos:
🔮 Burgos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burgos, you can win up to $665.00!
The main points for the tip for CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mostoles URJC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos for the Spain Copa del Rey – 30 of October
🏟️ CD Mostoles URJC X Burgos – Spain Copa del Rey |
When the best bet on CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos
Is betting on CD Mostoles URJC worth it?
🔵 CD Mostoles URJC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$700.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $163.00
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$787.00.
Is it worth betting on Burgos?
🔴 Burgos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 92.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $303.60;
- And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$223.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 CD Mostoles URJC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 CD Mostoles URJC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 CD Mostoles URJC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Burgos.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Mostoles URJC x Burgos
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.