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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Padura x SD Deusto Betting tips for November 1 in Spain Tercera Group 4
Friday, 01 November 2024, 16h30 Spain Tercera Group 4
CD Padura CD Padura
PREDICTION SD Deusto Wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
SD Deusto SD Deusto
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Padura x SD Deusto Betting tips for November 1 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for CD Padura x SD Deusto, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
16:30
CD Padura CD Padura
6.00
X
3.60
SD Deusto SD Deusto
1.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Padura x SD Deusto:

🔮 SD Deusto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SD Deusto, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for CD Padura x SD Deusto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SD Deusto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $18.0.
👉 In the last 3 CD Padura matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, SD Deusto conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on CD Padura x SD Deusto?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Padura x SD Deusto, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Padura x SD Deusto for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 1 of November

🏟️ CD Padura X SD Deusto – Spain Tercera Group 4
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 CD Padura – Winning probability: 4.60% | Fair line: 21.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.77% | Fair line: 5.33
🔴 SD Deusto – Winning probability: 76.63% | Fair line: 1.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Padura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Padura x SD Deusto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213551 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Padura x SD Deusto

Should you bet on CD Padura?

🔵 CD Padura: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $250.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$700.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on SD Deusto?

🔴 SD Deusto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – profiting $385.00;
  • And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Padura x SD Deusto

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Padura
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Padura x SD Deusto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 CD Padura, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 CD Padura.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 CD Padura.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Padura x SD Deusto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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