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Home » Predictions » CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF Betting tips for January 8 in Spain Tercera Group 12
Wednesday, 08 January 2025, 17h30 Spain Tercera Group 12
CD Santa Ursula CD Santa Ursula
PREDICTION CD Santa Ursula wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Estrella CF Estrella CF
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF Betting tips for January 8 in Spain Tercera Group 12

Our betting tip for CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF, Wednesday, 8/1/2025
📅 8/1/2025
17:30
CD Santa Ursula CD Santa Ursula
1.37
X
4.15
Estrella CF Estrella CF
7.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF:

🔮 CD Santa Ursula wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Santa Ursula, you can win up to $685.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Santa Ursula in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrella CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Santa Ursula scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Estrella CF conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Estrella CF as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF for the Spain Tercera Group 12 – 8 of January

🏟️ CD Santa Ursula X Estrella CF – Spain Tercera Group 12
📅 8 of January, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 CD Santa Ursula – Winning probability: 86.80% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.05% | Fair line: 9.05
🔴 Estrella CF – Winning probability: 2.16% | Fair line: 46.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 CD Santa Ursula
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Santa Ursula and Estrella CF.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243711 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF

Is betting on CD Santa Ursula worth it?

🔵 CD Santa Ursula: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $321.90;
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$191.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $346.50
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$543.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Estrella CF?

🔴 Estrella CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $134.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$846.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 CD Santa Ursula
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 CD Santa Ursula and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 CD Santa Ursula.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 CD Santa Ursula.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Santa Ursula x Estrella CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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