CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 17:00

CD Torreperogil 3.96

X 3.12

Atletico Malagueno 1.82

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno

Important information for your tip for CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno: 👉 CD Torreperogil did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Torreperogil scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 CD Torreperogil matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Malagueno matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Malagueno conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 CD Torreperogil is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 1 of December

When the best bet on CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Torreperogil?

🔵 CD Torreperogil: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $473.60
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$366.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $614.80
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$95.20.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Malagueno?

🔴 Atletico Malagueno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $459.20
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$19.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Torreperogil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CD Torreperogil, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 CD Torreperogil.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 CD Torreperogil.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Torreperogil x Atletico Malagueno

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.