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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 9
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h30 Spain Tercera Group 9
CD Torreperogil CD Torreperogil
PREDICTION CD Torreperogil wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Polideportivo Almeria Polideportivo Almeria
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:30
CD Torreperogil CD Torreperogil
1.72
X
3.45
Polideportivo Almeria Polideportivo Almeria
4.19

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria:

🔮 CD Torreperogil wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Torreperogil, you can win up to $860.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria:

👉 CD Torreperogil did not concede a goal in the last 7 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 CD Torreperogil matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria, with CD Torreperogil as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 CD Torreperogil has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Polideportivo Almeria playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 12 of January

🏟️ CD Torreperogil X Polideportivo Almeria – Spain Tercera Group 9
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 CD Torreperogil – Winning probability: 68.36% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.19% | Fair line: 4.72
🔴 Polideportivo Almeria – Winning probability: 10.44% | Fair line: 9.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Torreperogil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Torreperogil and Polideportivo Almeria.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria

Should you bet on CD Torreperogil?

🔵 CD Torreperogil: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$169.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $514.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Is betting on Polideportivo Almeria worth it?

🔴 Polideportivo Almeria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $319.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$581.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Torreperogil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 CD Torreperogil and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CD Torreperogil.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CD Torreperogil.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Torreperogil x Polideportivo Almeria

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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