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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 9
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 14h00 Spain Tercera Group 9
CD Torreperogil CD Torreperogil
PREDICTION No tip
UD Torre del Mar UD Torre del Mar
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CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
14:00
CD Torreperogil CD Torreperogil
2.53
X
3.07
UD Torre del Mar UD Torre del Mar
2.53

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar

Important information for your tip for CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Torreperogil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 UD Torre del Mar matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Torreperogil conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 29 of September

🏟️ CD Torreperogil X UD Torre del Mar – Spain Tercera Group 9
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ CD Torreperogil – Winning probability: 32.01% | Fair line: 3.12
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.73% | Fair line: 3.36
πŸ”΄ UD Torre del Mar – Winning probability: 38.26% | Fair line: 2.61
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Torreperogil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar

Is it worth betting on CD Torreperogil?

πŸ”΅ CD Torreperogil: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $489.60;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$190.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $621.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$79.00.

Is betting on UD Torre del Mar worth it?

πŸ”΄ UD Torre del Mar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $581.40;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$38.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Torreperogil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 CD Torreperogil and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 CD Torreperogil.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 UD Torre del Mar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Torreperogil x UD Torre del Mar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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