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Home » Predictions » CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio Betting tips for April 12 in Peru Liga 2
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 18h00 Peru Liga 2
CD Universidad San Martin CD Universidad San Martin
PREDICTION CD Universidad San Martin wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Unión Comercio Unión Comercio
ODD: @2.28 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio Betting tips for April 12 in Peru Liga 2

Our betting tip for CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
18:00
CD Universidad San Martin CD Universidad San Martin
2.28
X
3.16
Unión Comercio Unión Comercio
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio:

🔮 CD Universidad San Martin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Universidad San Martin, you can win up to $1140.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Universidad San Martin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-396.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Comercio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Union Comercio did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Union Comercio, CD Universidad San Martin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Union Comercio conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 CD Universidad San Martin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Union Comercio playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Union Comercio as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio:

Analysis from CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio for the Peru Liga 2 – 12 of April

🏟️ CD Universidad San Martin X Unión Comercio – Peru Liga 2
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 CD Universidad San Martin – Winning probability: 54.77% | Fair line: 1.83
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.16% | Fair line: 4.73
🔴 Unión Comercio – Winning probability: 24.06% | Fair line: 4.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Universidad San Martin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Universidad San Martin and Unión Comercio.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Universidad San Martin?

🔵 CD Universidad San Martin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $704.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$254.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $453.60
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$336.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Unión Comercio?

🔴 Unión Comercio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$304.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Universidad San Martin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 CD Universidad San Martin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Universidad San Martin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CD Universidad San Martin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Universidad San Martin x Unión Comercio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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