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Home » Predictions » Others » CE Europa x Atletico Baleares Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
CE Europa CE Europa
PREDICTION No tip
Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares
Don't miss this prediction!

CE Europa x Atletico Baleares Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for CE Europa x Atletico Baleares, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:00
CE Europa CE Europa
2.50
X
3.05
Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares
2.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CE Europa x Atletico Baleares:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CE Europa x Atletico Baleares

The main points for the tip for CE Europa x Atletico Baleares:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CE Europa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Baleares in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $325.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CE Europa scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CE Europa x Atletico Baleares for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 12 of January

🏟️ CE Europa X Atletico Baleares – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 CE Europa – Winning probability: 33.49% | Fair line: 2.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.25% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 Atletico Baleares – Winning probability: 31.27% | Fair line: 3.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CE Europa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on CE Europa x Atletico Baleares is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CE Europa x Atletico Baleares

Is betting on CE Europa worth it?

🔵 CE Europa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $717.50
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$67.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Baleares?

🔴 Atletico Baleares: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $511.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$178.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CE Europa x Atletico Baleares

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CE Europa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CE Europa x Atletico Baleares

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CE Europa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 CE Europa. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CE Europa x Atletico Baleares

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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