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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Ceara x CSA Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Copa Nordeste
Thursday, 06 February 2025, 00h30 Brazil Copa Nordeste
Ceara Ceara
PREDICTION Ceara wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
CSA CSA
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction!

Ceara x CSA Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Copa Nordeste

Our betting tip for Ceara x CSA, Thursday, 6/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 6/2/2025
00:30
Ceara Ceara
1.43
X
3.92
CSA CSA
6.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ceara x CSA:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Ceara wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ceara, you can win up to $715.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Ceara x CSA:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $161.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CSA in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $870.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, CSA scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against CSA, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ceara is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, CSA has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ceara has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against CSA.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Ceara x CSA?

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Analysis from Ceara x CSA for the Brazil Copa Nordeste – 6 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ceara X CSA – Brazil Copa Nordeste
๐Ÿ“… 6 of February, 2025 – 00:30
๐Ÿ”ต Ceara – Winning probability: 90.34% | Fair line: 1.11
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.00% | Fair line: 14.28
๐Ÿ”ด CSA – Winning probability: 2.66% | Fair line: 37.64
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Ceara
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ceara x CSA right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257906 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ceara x CSA

Should you bet on Ceara?

๐Ÿ”ต Ceara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – profiting $387.00;
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$287.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $204.40;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$725.60.

Should you bet on CSA?

๐Ÿ”ด CSA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $177.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$793.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ceara x CSA

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Ceara
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ceara x CSA

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Ceara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Ceara.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Ceara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ceara x CSA

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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