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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h30 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Celta Fortuna Celta Fortuna
PREDICTION No tip
Zamora CF Zamora CF
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Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
16:30
Celta Fortuna Celta Fortuna
2.05
X
3.10
Zamora CF Zamora CF
3.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF

The main points for the tip for Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Celta Fortuna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Zamora CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Celta Fortuna scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Zamora CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Zamora CF, Celta Fortuna scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Zamora CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Zamora CF has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Celta Fortuna has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Zamora CF.

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Summary

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Analysis from Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ Celta Fortuna X Zamora CF – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 16:30
πŸ”΅ Celta Fortuna – Winning probability: 49.60% | Fair line: 2.02
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.63% | Fair line: 3.75
πŸ”΄ Zamora CF – Winning probability: 23.77% | Fair line: 4.21
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Celta Fortuna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Celta Fortuna and Zamora CF.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF

Is it a good idea to bet on Celta Fortuna?

πŸ”΅ Celta Fortuna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$25.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $567.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$163.00.

Is it worth betting on Zamora CF?

πŸ”΄ Zamora CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$208.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Celta Fortuna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Celta Fortuna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Celta Fortuna. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Celta Fortuna x Zamora CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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