Celta Vigo x Girona Betting tips for September 29 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Celta Vigo x Girona, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

Celta Vigo 2.13

X 3.60

Girona 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Celta Vigo x Girona:

🔮 Celta Vigo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Celta Vigo, you can win up to $1065.00!

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The main points for the tip for Celta Vigo x Girona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Vigo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0. 👉 In the last 3 Girona matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Celta Vigo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Celta Vigo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Girona.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Celta Vigo x Girona?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Celta Vigo x Girona:

Analysis from Celta Vigo x Girona for the Spain La Liga – 29 of September

When the best bet on Celta Vigo x Girona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Celta Vigo x Girona

Is betting on Celta Vigo worth it?

🔵 Celta Vigo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $644.10;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$214.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Girona?

🔴 Girona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $441.00
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$349.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Celta Vigo x Girona

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Celta Vigo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Celta Vigo x Girona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Celta Vigo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Celta Vigo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Celta Vigo x Girona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.