📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Celtic x Hibernian
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Analysis from Celtic x Hibernian for the Scotland Premiership – 17 of January
🏟️ Celtic X Hibernian – Scotland Premiership
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Celtic and Hibernian.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288856 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Celtic x Hibernian
Is betting on Celtic worth it?
🔵 Celtic: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 840 times – profiting $268.80;
- And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$108.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Hibernian?
🔴 Hibernian: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $310.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$650.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Celtic x Hibernian
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Celtic
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Celtic x Hibernian
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Celtic, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Celtic.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Celtic x Hibernian
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves