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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Central Cordoba x Newells Betting tips for February 7 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Friday, 07 February 2025, 23h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Central Cordoba Central Cordoba
PREDICTION No tip
Newells Newells
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Central Cordoba x Newells Betting tips for February 7 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Central Cordoba x Newells, Friday, 7/2/2025
πŸ“… 7/2/2025
23:00
Central Cordoba Central Cordoba
2.20
X
3.04
Newells Newells
3.31

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Central Cordoba x Newells:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Central Cordoba x Newells

Important information for your tip for Central Cordoba x Newells:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Central Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $275.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Newells in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $800.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Central Cordoba scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Central Cordoba x Newells, with Central Cordoba as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Central Cordoba is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Central Cordoba x Newells for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 7 of February

🏟️ Central Cordoba X Newells – Argentina Liga Profesional
πŸ“… 7 of February, 2025 – 23:00
πŸ”΅ Central Cordoba – Winning probability: 48.72% | Fair line: 2.05
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.72% | Fair line: 3.15
πŸ”΄ Newells – Winning probability: 19.56% | Fair line: 5.11
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Central Cordoba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Central Cordoba and Newells.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1258741 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Central Cordoba x Newells

Is it worth betting on Central Cordoba?

πŸ”΅ Central Cordoba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$78.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $652.80;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$27.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Newells worth it?

πŸ”΄ Newells: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$338.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Central Cordoba x Newells

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Central Cordoba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Central Cordoba x Newells

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Central Cordoba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Central Cordoba.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Central Cordoba x Newells

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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