Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA Betting tips for January 12 in Hong Kong 1st Division
| 📅 12/1/2025 09:30 |
 Central & Western1.13 |
X 7.25 |
Tuen Mun SA  14.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA:
🔮 Central & Western wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Central & Western, you can win up to $565.00!
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The main points for the tip for Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Central & Western in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0. |
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Analysis from Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA for the Hong Kong 1st Division – 12 of January
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🏟️ Central & Western X Tuen Mun SA – Hong Kong 1st Division |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA
Is betting on Central & Western worth it?
🔵 Central & Western: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 990 times – profiting $128.70;
- And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$118.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Tuen Mun SA?
🔴 Tuen Mun SA: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 14.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Central & Western
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Central & Western and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 Central & Western.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Tuen Mun SA.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Central & Western x Tuen Mun SA
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
