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Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester Betting tips for November 23 in Argentina Primera D Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester, Thursday, 23/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 23/11/2023
20:00
Centro Espanyol Centro Espanyol
1.62
X
3.45
Central Ballester Central Ballester
5.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Centro Espanyol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Central Ballester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Centro Espanyol scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Central Ballester, Centro Espanyol scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Central Ballester matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Centro Espanyol matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester, with Centro Espanyol as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Central Ballester received red cards as the away team in all the last 5 head-to-head matches against Centro Espanyol.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Centro Espanyol conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Centro Espanyol conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Central Ballester.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Central Ballester has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Centro Espanyol has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Central Ballester.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester:

Analysis from Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester for the Argentina Primera D Metropolitana – 23 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Centro Espanyol X Central Ballester – Argentina Primera D Metropolitana
๐Ÿ“… 23 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Centro Espanyol – Winning probability: 60.00% | Fair line: 1.67
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.06% | Fair line: 3.12
๐Ÿ”ด Central Ballester – Winning probability: 7.94% | Fair line: 12.59
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Centro Espanyol
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024437 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester

Is betting on Centro Espanyol worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Centro Espanyol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $372.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$28.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $784.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$104.00.

Should you bet on Central Ballester?

๐Ÿ”ด Central Ballester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $332.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$588.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Centro Espanyol
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Centro Espanyol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Centro Espanyol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Central Ballester.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Centro Espanyol x Central Ballester

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves