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Home » Predictions » Others » CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Matogrossense
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 22h00 Brazil Campeonato Matogrossense
CEO Varzeagrandense CEO Varzeagrandense
PREDICTION CEO Varzeagrandense wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Nova Mutum EC Nova Mutum EC
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Matogrossense

Our betting tip for CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
22:00
CEO Varzeagrandense CEO Varzeagrandense
1.55
X
3.62
Nova Mutum EC Nova Mutum EC
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC:

🔮 CEO Varzeagrandense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CEO Varzeagrandense, you can win up to $775.00!

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The main points for the tip for CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CEO Varzeagrandense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $192.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nova Mutum EC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 CEO Varzeagrandense did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Nova Mutum EC, CEO Varzeagrandense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nova Mutum EC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC for the Brazil Campeonato Matogrossense – 4 of February

🏟️ CEO Varzeagrandense X Nova Mutum EC – Brazil Campeonato Matogrossense
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 CEO Varzeagrandense – Winning probability: 77.07% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.13% | Fair line: 5.84
🔴 Nova Mutum EC – Winning probability: 5.80% | Fair line: 17.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 CEO Varzeagrandense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257615 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC

Is it worth betting on CEO Varzeagrandense?

🔵 CEO Varzeagrandense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – profiting $423.50;
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$193.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $445.40;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$384.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nova Mutum EC?

🔴 Nova Mutum EC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 CEO Varzeagrandense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 CEO Varzeagrandense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 CEO Varzeagrandense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 CEO Varzeagrandense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CEO Varzeagrandense x Nova Mutum EC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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