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Home » Predictions » Others » Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC Betting tips for November 30 in Egypt Division 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Egypt Division 1
Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra
PREDICTION No tip
Modern Sport FC Modern Sport FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC Betting tips for November 30 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra
2.55
X
2.87
Modern Sport FC Modern Sport FC
2.86

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC

The main points for the tip for Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceramica Cleopatra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $83.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Modern Sport FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $264.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Modern Sport FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Modern Sport FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Ceramica Cleopatra conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Modern Sport FC.
👉 Even as a visitor, Modern Sport FC won the last 3 head-to-head matches Ceramica Cleopatra´s territory

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC for the Egypt Division 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ Ceramica Cleopatra X Modern Sport FC – Egypt Division 1
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Ceramica Cleopatra – Winning probability: 40.69% | Fair line: 2.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.75% | Fair line: 3.15
🔴 Modern Sport FC – Winning probability: 27.56% | Fair line: 3.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ceramica Cleopatra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC

Is betting on Ceramica Cleopatra worth it?

🔵 Ceramica Cleopatra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $635.50
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$45.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $598.40;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$81.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Modern Sport FC?

🔴 Modern Sport FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $520.80
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$199.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ceramica Cleopatra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Ceramica Cleopatra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Ceramica Cleopatra. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ceramica Cleopatra x Modern Sport FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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