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Home » Predictions » Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha Betting tips for February 2 in Egypt Division 1
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 14h00 Egypt Division 1
Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra
PREDICTION No tip
Smouha Smouha
Don't miss this prediction!

Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha Betting tips for February 2 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
14:00
Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra
1.99
X
3.25
Smouha Smouha
3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha

The main points for the tip for Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceramica Cleopatra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $27.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Smouha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ceramica Cleopatra scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha, with Ceramica Cleopatra as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Smouha conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Smouha as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha for the Egypt Division 1 – 2 of February

🏟️ Ceramica Cleopatra X Smouha – Egypt Division 1
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Ceramica Cleopatra – Winning probability: 48.25% | Fair line: 2.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.85% | Fair line: 3.24
🔴 Smouha – Winning probability: 20.90% | Fair line: 4.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ceramica Cleopatra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ceramica Cleopatra and Smouha.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha

Is it worth betting on Ceramica Cleopatra?

🔵 Ceramica Cleopatra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $475.20;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$44.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $697.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$7.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Smouha?

🔴 Smouha: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ceramica Cleopatra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ceramica Cleopatra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Ceramica Cleopatra.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Smouha.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ceramica Cleopatra x Smouha

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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