Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense Betting tips for September 29 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 14:15

Cercle Brugge 1.69

X 3.88

Sint-Truidense 4.49

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense:

🔮 Cercle Brugge wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cercle Brugge, you can win up to $845.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cercle Brugge in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sint-Truidense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cercle Brugge scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sint-Truidense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Cercle Brugge matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cercle Brugge conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Cercle Brugge conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Sint-Truidense.

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Analysis from Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense for the Belgium First Division A – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense

Is betting on Cercle Brugge worth it?

🔵 Cercle Brugge: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 720 times – profiting $496.80;
• And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$216.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $259.20;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$650.80.

Should you bet on Sint-Truidense?

🔴 Sint-Truidense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $663.10;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$146.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cercle Brugge
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cercle Brugge, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Cercle Brugge.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Sint-Truidense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cercle Brugge x Sint-Truidense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.