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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 5
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Spain Tercera Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles FC Cerdanyola del Valles FC
PREDICTION Cerdanyola del Valles FC wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
CFJ Mollerussa CFJ Mollerussa
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 5

Our betting tip for Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
12:00
Cerdanyola del Valles FC Cerdanyola del Valles FC
1.90
X
3.26
CFJ Mollerussa CFJ Mollerussa
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cerdanyola del Valles FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerdanyola del Valles FC, you can win up to $950.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cerdanyola del Valles FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CFJ Mollerussa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 CFJ Mollerussa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cerdanyola del Valles FC conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, CFJ Mollerussa conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Cerdanyola del Valles FC as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa:

Analysis from Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa for the Spain Tercera Group 5 – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cerdanyola del Valles FC X CFJ Mollerussa – Spain Tercera Group 5
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Cerdanyola del Valles FC – Winning probability: 58.82% | Fair line: 1.7
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.95% | Fair line: 4.56
๐Ÿ”ด CFJ Mollerussa – Winning probability: 19.23% | Fair line: 5.2
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cerdanyola del Valles FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa

Is betting on Cerdanyola del Valles FC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Cerdanyola del Valles FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $531.00;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$121.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $497.20
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$282.80.

Is it worth betting on CFJ Mollerussa?

๐Ÿ”ด CFJ Mollerussa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cerdanyola del Valles FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cerdanyola del Valles FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cerdanyola del Valles FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CFJ Mollerussa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerdanyola del Valles FC x CFJ Mollerussa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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