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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka Betting tips for October 2 in Japan J-League
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 07h00 Japan J-League
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
PREDICTION Gamba Osaka Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
ODD: @2.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka Betting tips for October 2 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 2/10/2024
07:00
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
2.62
X
3.20
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
2.61

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cerezo Osaka wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerezo Osaka, you can win up to $1310.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ Gamba Osaka wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gamba Osaka, you can win up to $1305.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cerezo Osaka in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gamba Osaka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $138.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gamba Osaka scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Gamba Osaka matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gamba Osaka conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Gamba Osaka has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka:

Analysis from Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka for the Japan J-League – 2 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cerezo Osaka X Gamba Osaka – Japan J-League
๐Ÿ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 07:00
๐Ÿ”ต Cerezo Osaka – Winning probability: 39.31% | Fair line: 2.54
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.87% | Fair line: 5.3
๐Ÿ”ด Gamba Osaka – Winning probability: 41.82% | Fair line: 2.39
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cerezo Osaka
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka

Is it worth betting on Cerezo Osaka?

๐Ÿ”ต Cerezo Osaka: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $631.80;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$21.80.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $418.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$392.00.

Is betting on Gamba Osaka worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Gamba Osaka: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $676.20
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$96.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cerezo Osaka
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Cerezo Osaka and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cerezo Osaka.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Gamba Osaka.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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