Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka Betting tips for October 2 in Japan J-League
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2/10/2024 07:00 |
Cerezo Osaka 2.62 |
X 3.20 |
Gamba Osaka 2.61 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka:
๐ฎ Cerezo Osaka wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerezo Osaka, you can win up to $1310.00!
๐ฎ Gamba Osaka wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gamba Osaka, you can win up to $1305.00!
The main points for the tip for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Cerezo Osaka in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka for the Japan J-League – 2 of October
๐๏ธ Cerezo Osaka X Gamba Osaka – Japan J-League |
When the best bet on Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka
Is it worth betting on Cerezo Osaka?
๐ต Cerezo Osaka: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $631.80;
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$21.80.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $418.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$392.00.
Is betting on Gamba Osaka worth it?
๐ด Gamba Osaka: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $676.20
- And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$96.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cerezo Osaka
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Cerezo Osaka and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cerezo Osaka.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Gamba Osaka.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerezo Osaka x Gamba Osaka
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.