Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo Betting tips for September 29 in Paraguay Division Profesional
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29/9/2024 20:30 |
Cerro Porteno 1.47 |
X 3.88 |
2 de Mayo 6.35 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo:
๐ฎ Cerro Porteno wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerro Porteno, you can win up to $735.00!
Important information for your tip for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Cerro Porteno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo?
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Analysis from Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 29 of September
๐๏ธ Cerro Porteno X 2 de Mayo – Paraguay Division Profesional |
When the best bet on Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo
Should you bet on Cerro Porteno?
๐ต Cerro Porteno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $347.80;
- And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$87.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $547.20;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$262.80.
Should you bet on 2 de Mayo?
๐ด 2 de Mayo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $374.50
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$555.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cerro Porteno
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Cerro Porteno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Cerro Porteno. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.