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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo Betting tips for September 29 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 20h30 Paraguay Division Profesional
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
PREDICTION Cerro Porteno wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo Betting tips for September 29 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
20:30
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
1.47
X
3.88
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
6.35

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cerro Porteno wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerro Porteno, you can win up to $735.00!

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Important information for your tip for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cerro Porteno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on 2 de Mayo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-22.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cerro Porteno scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, 2 de Mayo scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cerro Porteno conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo:

Analysis from Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cerro Porteno X 2 de Mayo – Paraguay Division Profesional
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 20:30
๐Ÿ”ต Cerro Porteno – Winning probability: 74.11% | Fair line: 1.35
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.20% | Fair line: 5.21
๐Ÿ”ด 2 de Mayo – Winning probability: 6.68% | Fair line: 14.97
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cerro Porteno
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo

Should you bet on Cerro Porteno?

๐Ÿ”ต Cerro Porteno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $347.80;
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$87.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $547.20;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$262.80.

Should you bet on 2 de Mayo?

๐Ÿ”ด 2 de Mayo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $374.50
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$555.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cerro Porteno
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Cerro Porteno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Cerro Porteno. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Porteno x 2 de Mayo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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