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Home » Predictions » Others » Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta Betting tips for March 1 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Sunday, 01 March 2026, 23h30 Paraguay Division Profesional
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
PREDICTION Cerro Porteno wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
ODD: @1.41
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Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta Betting tips for March 1 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta, Sunday, 1/3/2026
📅 1/3/2026
23:30
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
1.41
X
4.10
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta:

🔮 Cerro Porteno wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cerro Porteno, you can win up to $705.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Porteno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-167.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Recoleta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $640.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Deportivo Recoleta scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Cerro Porteno matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Deportivo Recoleta has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 1 of March

🏟️ Cerro Porteno X Deportivo Recoleta – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 1 of March, 2026 – 23:30
🔵 Cerro Porteno – Winning probability: 81.20% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.52% | Fair line: 8.68
🔴 Deportivo Recoleta – Winning probability: 7.28% | Fair line: 13.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cerro Porteno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

How the handicap and odds moved for Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 The odds for Cerro Porteno had a slight Decreased of -5.80%: the market opened with odds of @1.38 for Cerro Porteno and now the odds are @1.3.
📊 The odds for Draw had a slight Raised of 8.33%: the market opened with odds of @4.0 for Draw and now the odds are @4.333.
📊 The odds for Deportivo Recoleta had a great Raised of 14.29%: the market opened with odds of @7.0 for Deportivo Recoleta and now the odds are @8.0.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -1.25 is now at -1.50 for Cerro Porteno.
📊 The market expects more goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.50 and now is at 2.75 goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta

When the best bet on Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1489410 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on Cerro Porteno worth it?

🔵 Cerro Porteno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $332.10;
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$142.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $372.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$508.00.

Should you bet on Deportivo Recoleta?

🔴 Deportivo Recoleta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $385.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$545.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cerro Porteno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Cerro Porteno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Cerro Porteno. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta

Which team is the favourite in Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta?

From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Cerro Porteno, with a win probability of 81.20%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!

Who will win: Cerro Porteno or Deportivo Recoleta?

It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Cerro Porteno is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 81.20%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!

What are the chances of Cerro Porteno beating Deportivo Recoleta today?

From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Cerro Porteno would take victory in roughly 81 of them versus Deportivo Recoleta.

What are the chances of Deportivo Recoleta beating Cerro Porteno today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Deportivo Recoleta would win about 7 of those versus Cerro Porteno.

Which team should I bet on: Cerro Porteno or Deportivo Recoleta?

A successful bettor looks for positive expected value opportunities. Based on our analysis, we believe the best bet for this match is: Cerro Porteno wins, with a positive expected value of 5.69%. Bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: avoid staking more than 2% of your funds!

How much is Cerro Porteno paying today? See what you can win by betting on Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta:

The odds for Cerro Porteno to beat Deportivo Recoleta today are around 1.41. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1410.00 if Cerro Porteno wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

How much is Deportivo Recoleta paying today? See what you can win by betting on Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta:

The odds for Deportivo Recoleta to beat Cerro Porteno today are around 6.50. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh6500.00 if Deportivo Recoleta wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Which bookmaker is best for the match Cerro Porteno x Deportivo Recoleta?

If you plan to bet on Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta, we suggest using trusted and regulated bookmakers. Here are three operators we recommend:

Remember to bet responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves