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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Cesena x Mantova Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie B
Cesena Cesena
PREDICTION No tip
Mantova Mantova
Don't miss this prediction!

Cesena x Mantova Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cesena x Mantova, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
10:00
Cesena Cesena
1.81
X
3.50
Mantova Mantova
4.14

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cesena x Mantova:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Cesena x Mantova

Important information for your tip for Cesena x Mantova:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cesena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $3.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mantova in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cesena scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the away team, Mantova conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Mantova is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cesena x Mantova?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cesena x Mantova:

Analysis from Cesena x Mantova for the Italy Serie B – 29 of September

🏟️ Cesena X Mantova – Italy Serie B
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Cesena – Winning probability: 53.25% | Fair line: 1.88
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.82% | Fair line: 3.73
πŸ”΄ Mantova – Winning probability: 19.94% | Fair line: 5.02
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cesena
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cesena x Mantova is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cesena x Mantova

Is it a good idea to bet on Cesena?

πŸ”΅ Cesena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $429.30
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$40.70.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $675.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$55.00.

Is betting on Mantova worth it?

πŸ”΄ Mantova: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $628.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$172.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cesena x Mantova

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cesena
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cesena x Mantova

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cesena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Cesena.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Mantova.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cesena x Mantova

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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