Cesena x Mantova Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie B
π
29/9/2024 10:00 |
Cesena 1.81 |
X 3.50 |
Mantova 4.14 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cesena x Mantova:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Cesena x Mantova
Important information for your tip for Cesena x Mantova: π If you had bet $100 on Cesena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $3.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Cesena x Mantova?
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Analysis from Cesena x Mantova for the Italy Serie B – 29 of September
ποΈ Cesena X Mantova – Italy Serie B |
When the best bet on Cesena x Mantova is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cesena x Mantova
Is it a good idea to bet on Cesena?
π΅ Cesena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $429.30
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$40.70.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $675.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$55.00.
Is betting on Mantova worth it?
π΄ Mantova: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $628.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$172.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cesena x Mantova
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cesena
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cesena x Mantova
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cesena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Cesena.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Mantova.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cesena x Mantova
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.