📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ceyhanspor x Gumushanespor
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Analysis from Ceyhanspor x Gumushanespor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 – 16 of January
🏟️ Ceyhanspor X Gumushanespor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 3
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ceyhanspor and Gumushanespor.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ceyhanspor x Gumushanespor
Is betting on Ceyhanspor worth it?
🔵 Ceyhanspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $140.00
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$398.00.
Is betting on Gumushanespor worth it?
🔴 Gumushanespor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 850 times – profiting $289.00;
- And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$139.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ceyhanspor x Gumushanespor
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Ceyhanspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ceyhanspor x Gumushanespor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Ceyhanspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Ceyhanspor.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ceyhanspor x Gumushanespor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves