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Home » Predictions » Others » CF Benidorm x La Nucia Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 6
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 18h30 Spain Tercera Group 6
CF Benidorm CF Benidorm
PREDICTION La Nucia Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
La Nucia La Nucia
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

CF Benidorm x La Nucia Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for CF Benidorm x La Nucia, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
18:30
CF Benidorm CF Benidorm
3.75
X
3.36
La Nucia La Nucia
1.83

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CF Benidorm x La Nucia:

🔮 La Nucia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on La Nucia, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for CF Benidorm x La Nucia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Benidorm in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on La Nucia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $230.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, La Nucia scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CF Benidorm x La Nucia for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 11 of January

🏟️ CF Benidorm X La Nucia – Spain Tercera Group 6
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 CF Benidorm – Winning probability: 15.01% | Fair line: 6.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.07% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 La Nucia – Winning probability: 59.92% | Fair line: 1.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 CF Benidorm
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CF Benidorm x La Nucia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CF Benidorm x La Nucia

Should you bet on CF Benidorm?

🔵 CF Benidorm: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $412.50;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $590.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on La Nucia?

🔴 La Nucia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $498.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$98.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CF Benidorm x La Nucia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 CF Benidorm
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Benidorm x La Nucia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 CF Benidorm and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 CF Benidorm.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 La Nucia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Benidorm x La Nucia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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