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Home » Predictions » CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 6
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h00 Spain Tercera Group 6
CF Benidorm CF Benidorm
PREDICTION UD Castellonense Wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
UD Castellonense UD Castellonense
ODD: @1.84 Don't miss this prediction!

CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
16:00
CF Benidorm CF Benidorm
3.80
X
3.30
UD Castellonense UD Castellonense
1.84

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense:

🔮 UD Castellonense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Castellonense, you can win up to $920.00!

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The main points for the tip for CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Benidorm in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Castellonense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, UD Castellonense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 CF Benidorm matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, UD Castellonense has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 2 of February

🏟️ CF Benidorm X UD Castellonense – Spain Tercera Group 6
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 CF Benidorm – Winning probability: 12.66% | Fair line: 7.9
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.75% | Fair line: 3.36
🔴 UD Castellonense – Winning probability: 57.60% | Fair line: 1.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CF Benidorm
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CF Benidorm and UD Castellonense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense

Is it worth betting on CF Benidorm?

🔵 CF Benidorm: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $364.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$506.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is betting on UD Castellonense worth it?

🔴 UD Castellonense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $487.20
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$67.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CF Benidorm
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 CF Benidorm, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 CF Benidorm. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Benidorm x UD Castellonense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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