CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 17:30

CF Os Belenenses 2.10

X 3.10

Atletico CP Lisbon 3.29

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon

Some important points for the tip for CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Os Belenenses in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-92.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico CP Lisbon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico CP Lisbon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 CF Os Belenenses matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Atletico CP Lisbon matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CF Os Belenenses conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico CP Lisbon conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon for the Portugal Liga 3 – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CF Os Belenenses and Atletico CP Lisbon.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon

Is it worth betting on CF Os Belenenses?

🔵 CF Os Belenenses: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $451.00;
• And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$139.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.00.

Is betting on Atletico CP Lisbon worth it?

🔴 Atletico CP Lisbon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $641.20;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$78.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CF Os Belenenses
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CF Os Belenenses, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CF Os Belenenses.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Atletico CP Lisbon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Os Belenenses x Atletico CP Lisbon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.