| π
16/1/2022 15:00 |
 CF Os Belenenses1.60 |
X 3.40 |
Pero Pinheiro  5.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro
π Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro
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Analysis from CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 16 of January
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ποΈ CF Os Belenenses X Pero Pinheiro – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
When the best bet on CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro
Should you bet on CF Os Belenenses?
π΅ CF Os Belenenses: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $381.15;
- And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$11.15. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $552.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$218.00.
Is it worth betting on Pero Pinheiro?
π΄ Pero Pinheiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $630.70;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$229.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CF Os Belenenses
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CF Os Belenenses, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CF Os Belenenses.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CF Os Belenenses.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Os Belenenses x Pero Pinheiro
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
