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Home » Predictions » CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
CF Os Marialvas CF Os Marialvas
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Mortagua FC Mortagua FC
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:00
CF Os Marialvas CF Os Marialvas
2.05
X
3.00
Mortagua FC Mortagua FC
3.56

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Os Marialvas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mortagua FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $220.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CF Os Marialvas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CF Os Marialvas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 2 of February

🏟️ CF Os Marialvas X Mortagua FC – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 CF Os Marialvas – Winning probability: 42.07% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.57% | Fair line: 2.81
🔴 Mortagua FC – Winning probability: 22.36% | Fair line: 4.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CF Os Marialvas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CF Os Marialvas and Mortagua FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC

Is it worth betting on CF Os Marialvas?

🔵 CF Os Marialvas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $441.00;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$139.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is betting on Mortagua FC worth it?

🔴 Mortagua FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $563.20;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$216.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CF Os Marialvas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CF Os Marialvas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CF Os Marialvas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mortagua FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Os Marialvas x Mortagua FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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