CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros Betting tips for January 12 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 01:00

CF Reboceros La Piedad 2.25

X 3.45

Gavilanes FC Matamoros 2.72

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros

Some important points for the tip for CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Reboceros La Piedad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $18.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gavilanes FC Matamoros in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $54.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CF Reboceros La Piedad scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Gavilanes FC Matamoros scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Gavilanes FC Matamoros has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros for the Mexico Segunda Division – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CF Reboceros La Piedad and Gavilanes FC Matamoros.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros

Is betting on CF Reboceros La Piedad worth it?

🔵 CF Reboceros La Piedad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $537.50;
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $759.50;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$69.50.

Should you bet on Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

🔴 Gavilanes FC Matamoros: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $447.20;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$292.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CF Reboceros La Piedad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CF Reboceros La Piedad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CF Reboceros La Piedad. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Reboceros La Piedad x Gavilanes FC Matamoros

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.