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Home » Predictions » Others » CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h30 Spain Tercera Group 14
CF Trujillo CF Trujillo
PREDICTION CF Trujillo wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
E.F. Puebla de la Calzada E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:30
CF Trujillo CF Trujillo
1.44
X
4.00
E.F. Puebla de la Calzada E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
5.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada:

🔮 CF Trujillo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CF Trujillo, you can win up to $720.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada:

👉 If you had bet $100 on E.F. Puebla de la Calzada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 CF Trujillo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CF Trujillo conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, E.F. Puebla de la Calzada conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 1 of December

🏟️ CF Trujillo X E.F. Puebla de la Calzada – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 CF Trujillo – Winning probability: 72.79% | Fair line: 1.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.73% | Fair line: 5.34
🔴 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada – Winning probability: 8.48% | Fair line: 11.79
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CF Trujillo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CF Trujillo and E.F. Puebla de la Calzada.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada

Is betting on CF Trujillo worth it?

🔵 CF Trujillo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $321.20;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$51.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Is betting on E.F. Puebla de la Calzada worth it?

🔴 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $380.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$540.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CF Trujillo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CF Trujillo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 CF Trujillo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Trujillo x E.F. Puebla de la Calzada

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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