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Home » Predictions » Others » Changchun Yatai x Henan Betting tips for May 11 in China Super League
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 11h00 China Super League
Changchun Yatai Changchun Yatai
PREDICTION Henan Wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Henan Henan
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Changchun Yatai x Henan Betting tips for May 11 in China Super League

Our betting tip for Changchun Yatai x Henan, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
11:00
Changchun Yatai Changchun Yatai
2.85
X
3.25
Henan Henan
2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Changchun Yatai x Henan:

🔮 Henan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Henan, you can win up to $1125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Changchun Yatai x Henan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Changchun Yatai in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Henan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Henan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Changchun Yatai has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Henan playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Changchun Yatai x Henan?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Changchun Yatai x Henan:

Analysis from Changchun Yatai x Henan for the China Super League – 11 of May

🏟️ Changchun Yatai X Henan – China Super League
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Changchun Yatai – Winning probability: 18.15% | Fair line: 5.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.55% | Fair line: 3.38
🔴 Henan – Winning probability: 52.30% | Fair line: 1.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Changchun Yatai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Changchun Yatai and Henan.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Changchun Yatai x Henan

Is betting on Changchun Yatai worth it?

🔵 Changchun Yatai: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $333.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$487.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $675.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Henan?

🔴 Henan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $650.00
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$170.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Changchun Yatai x Henan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Changchun Yatai
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Changchun Yatai x Henan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Changchun Yatai, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Changchun Yatai.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Henan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Changchun Yatai x Henan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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