Chapecoense x Coritiba Betting tips for April 12 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Chapecoense x Coritiba, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 19:00

Chapecoense 2.70

X 2.82

Coritiba 2.79

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chapecoense x Coritiba:

🔮 Chapecoense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chapecoense, you can win up to $1350.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chapecoense x Coritiba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Coritiba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-144.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Chapecoense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Coritiba, Chapecoense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Chapecoense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Chapecoense has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Coritiba playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Chapecoense x Coritiba?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chapecoense x Coritiba, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Chapecoense x Coritiba for the Brazil Serie B – 12 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chapecoense and Coritiba.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chapecoense x Coritiba

Is it worth betting on Chapecoense?

🔵 Chapecoense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $663.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$53.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $564.20
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$125.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Coritiba?

🔴 Coritiba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $537.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chapecoense x Coritiba

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Chapecoense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chapecoense x Coritiba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Chapecoense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Chapecoense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Chapecoense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chapecoense x Coritiba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.