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Home » Predictions » Others » Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise Betting tips for January 11 in Belgium First Division A
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 19h45 Belgium First Division A
Charleroi Charleroi
PREDICTION Union Saint Gilloise Wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
ODD: @2.09 Don't miss this prediction!

Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise Betting tips for January 11 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
19:45
Charleroi Charleroi
3.23
X
3.48
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
2.09

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise:

🔮 Union Saint Gilloise wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Saint Gilloise, you can win up to $1045.00!

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Important information for your tip for Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Charleroi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Saint Gilloise in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Charleroi scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Charleroi conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Union Saint Gilloise.
👉 Even as a visitor, Union Saint Gilloise won the last 3 head-to-head matches Charleroi´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise for the Belgium First Division A – 11 of January

🏟️ Charleroi X Union Saint Gilloise – Belgium First Division A
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Charleroi – Winning probability: 22.77% | Fair line: 4.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.70% | Fair line: 3.75
🔴 Union Saint Gilloise – Winning probability: 50.53% | Fair line: 1.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Charleroi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise

Is it worth betting on Charleroi?

🔵 Charleroi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $512.90
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$257.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $669.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$60.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Saint Gilloise?

🔴 Union Saint Gilloise: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $555.90;
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$65.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Charleroi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Charleroi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Charleroi.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charleroi x Union Saint Gilloise

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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