Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC Betting tips for April 13 in Australia Northern NSW Premier League

Our betting tip for Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025
04:00

Charlestown Azzurri
1.35

X
5.22

Maitland FC

5.96

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC:

🔮 Charlestown Azzurri wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Charlestown Azzurri, you can win up to $675.00!

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The main points for the tip for Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Charlestown Azzurri in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Maitland FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Charlestown Azzurri scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Maitland FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Maitland FC, Charlestown Azzurri scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Maitland FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Maitland FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Summary

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Analysis from Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC for the Australia Northern NSW Premier League – 13 of April

🏟️ Charlestown Azzurri X Maitland FC – Australia Northern NSW Premier League
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 04:00
🔵 Charlestown Azzurri – Winning probability: 89.22% | Fair line: 1.12
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.90% | Fair line: 16.95
🔴 Maitland FC – Winning probability: 4.88% | Fair line: 20.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Charlestown Azzurri
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302086 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Charlestown Azzurri?

🔵 Charlestown Azzurri: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $311.50
And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$201.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 60 times – profiting $253.20;
And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$686.80.

Should you bet on Maitland FC?

🔴 Maitland FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $248.00;
And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$702.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Charlestown Azzurri
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Charlestown Azzurri and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Charlestown Azzurri.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charlestown Azzurri x Maitland FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.