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Home » Predictions » Charlotte Independence x North Carolina Betting tips for April 15 in USA US Open Cup
Tuesday, 15 April 2025, 23h00 USA US Open Cup
Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence
PREDICTION North Carolina Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
North Carolina North Carolina
ODD: @1.96 Don't miss this prediction!

Charlotte Independence x North Carolina Betting tips for April 15 in USA US Open Cup

Our betting tip for Charlotte Independence x North Carolina, Tuesday, 15/4/2025
📅 15/4/2025
23:00
Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence
3.55
X
3.35
North Carolina North Carolina
1.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Charlotte Independence x North Carolina:

🔮 North Carolina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on North Carolina, you can win up to $980.00!

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The main points for the tip for Charlotte Independence x North Carolina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Charlotte Independence in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, North Carolina scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, North Carolina has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Charlotte Independence x North Carolina for the USA US Open Cup – 15 of April

🏟️ Charlotte Independence X North Carolina – USA US Open Cup
📅 15 of April, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Charlotte Independence – Winning probability: 24.64% | Fair line: 4.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.76% | Fair line: 6.34
🔴 North Carolina – Winning probability: 59.60% | Fair line: 1.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Charlotte Independence
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Charlotte Independence x North Carolina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304535 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Charlotte Independence x North Carolina

Is it worth betting on Charlotte Independence?

🔵 Charlotte Independence: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $637.50;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $376.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$464.00.

Is betting on North Carolina worth it?

🔴 North Carolina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$176.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Charlotte Independence x North Carolina

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Charlotte Independence
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charlotte Independence x North Carolina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Charlotte Independence, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Charlotte Independence. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charlotte Independence x North Carolina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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