📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Charlton U23 x Watford U23
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Analysis from Charlton U23 x Watford U23 for the England U23 Development League – 18 of January
🏟️ Charlton U23 X Watford U23 – England U23 Development League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Charlton U23 x Watford U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288868 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Charlton U23 x Watford U23
Should you bet on Charlton U23?
🔵 Charlton U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $424.00;
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$46.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$297.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Watford U23?
🔴 Watford U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $618.80;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Charlton U23 x Watford U23
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Charlton U23
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charlton U23 x Watford U23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Charlton U23 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Charlton U23.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Charlton U23.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charlton U23 x Watford U23
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves