Charlton x Wigan Betting tips for March 15 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Charlton x Wigan, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 15:00

Charlton 1.67

X 3.68

Wigan 4.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Charlton x Wigan:

🔮 Charlton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Charlton, you can win up to $835.00!

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The main points for the tip for Charlton x Wigan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Charlton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $370.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Wigan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Charlton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Wigan matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Charlton is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Wigan has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Charlton x Wigan for the England League 1 – 15 of March

When the best bet on Charlton x Wigan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Charlton x Wigan

Is it a good idea to bet on Charlton?

🔵 Charlton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 720 times – profiting $482.40;
• And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$202.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $536.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Wigan?

🔴 Wigan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $302.40;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$617.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Charlton x Wigan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Charlton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charlton x Wigan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Charlton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Charlton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Charlton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charlton x Wigan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.