Chaves x Pacos Ferreira Betting tips for December 7 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Chaves x Pacos Ferreira, Sunday, 7/12/2025

📅 7/12/2025 15:30

Chaves 1.57

X 3.62

Pacos Ferreira 5.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chaves x Pacos Ferreira:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Chaves x Pacos Ferreira

The main points for the tip for Chaves x Pacos Ferreira:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pacos Ferreira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-383.0.
👉 Chaves did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Pacos Ferreira, Chaves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Chaves matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pacos Ferreira conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Chaves has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Pacos Ferreira playing at home.

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Analysis from Chaves x Pacos Ferreira for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chaves x Pacos Ferreira right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449543 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chaves x Pacos Ferreira

Is betting on Chaves worth it?

🔵 Chaves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 680 times – profiting $387.60;
• And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$67.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $524.00
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$276.00.

Is it worth betting on Pacos Ferreira?

🔴 Pacos Ferreira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $516.00;
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$364.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chaves x Pacos Ferreira

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chaves x Pacos Ferreira

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Chaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Chaves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Pacos Ferreira.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chaves x Pacos Ferreira

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.