Chaves x UD Oliveirense Betting tips for March 15 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Chaves x UD Oliveirense, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025
15:30

Chaves
1.55

X
3.75

UD Oliveirense

5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chaves x UD Oliveirense:

🔮 Chaves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chaves, you can win up to $775.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Important information for your tip for Chaves x UD Oliveirense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Oliveirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1020.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Chaves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, UD Oliveirense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Chaves x UD Oliveirense, with Chaves as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Chaves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against UD Oliveirense.

Summary

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Analysis from Chaves x UD Oliveirense for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 15 of March

🏟️ Chaves X UD Oliveirense – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Chaves – Winning probability: 69.86% | Fair line: 1.43
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.76% | Fair line: 4.82
🔴 UD Oliveirense – Winning probability: 9.38% | Fair line: 10.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chaves and UD Oliveirense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chaves x UD Oliveirense

Is it a good idea to bet on Chaves?

🔵 Chaves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 700 times – profiting $385.00;
And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$85.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $577.50;
And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$212.50.

Is betting on UD Oliveirense worth it?

🔴 UD Oliveirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 90 times – profiting $360.00;
And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chaves x UD Oliveirense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chaves x UD Oliveirense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Chaves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Chaves.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 UD Oliveirense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chaves x UD Oliveirense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.