📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Chelmsford x St Albans
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Analysis from Chelmsford x St Albans for the England National League South – 17 of January
🏟️ Chelmsford X St Albans – England National League South
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chelmsford x St Albans right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288856 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chelmsford x St Albans
Is betting on Chelmsford worth it?
🔵 Chelmsford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $483.30
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$246.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.
Should you bet on St Albans?
🔴 St Albans: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $595.00
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$95.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chelmsford x St Albans
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chelmsford
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelmsford x St Albans
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Chelmsford and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Chelmsford.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Chelmsford.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelmsford x St Albans
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves