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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Chelsea x Legia Warsaw Betting tips for April 17 in UEFA Conference League
Thursday, 17 April 2025, 19h00 UEFA Conference League
Chelsea Chelsea
PREDICTION Chelsea wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Legia Warsaw Legia Warsaw
ODD: @1.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Chelsea x Legia Warsaw Betting tips for April 17 in UEFA Conference League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Legia Warsaw, Thursday, 17/4/2025
๐Ÿ“… 17/4/2025
19:00
Chelsea Chelsea
1.22
X
6.25
Legia Warsaw Legia Warsaw
11.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chelsea x Legia Warsaw:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Chelsea wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $610.00!

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Important information for your tip for Chelsea x Legia Warsaw:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $54.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Legia Warsaw in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-102.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Legia Warsaw scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Legia Warsaw matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chelsea x Legia Warsaw for the UEFA Conference League – 17 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chelsea X Legia Warsaw – UEFA Conference League
๐Ÿ“… 17 of April, 2025 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Chelsea – Winning probability: 93.97% | Fair line: 1.06
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.36% | Fair line: 22.93
๐Ÿ”ด Legia Warsaw – Winning probability: 1.67% | Fair line: 59.86
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Chelsea
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chelsea and Legia Warsaw.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305777 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Legia Warsaw

Is it a good idea to bet on Chelsea?

๐Ÿ”ต Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $206.80
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$146.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $210.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$750.00.

Is it worth betting on Legia Warsaw?

๐Ÿ”ด Legia Warsaw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $200.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$780.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Legia Warsaw

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Chelsea
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Legia Warsaw

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Chelsea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Chelsea.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Chelsea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Legia Warsaw

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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