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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley Betting tips for October 1 in England League 2
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 England League 2
Cheltenham Cheltenham
PREDICTION No tip
Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley
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Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley Betting tips for October 1 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
πŸ“… 1/10/2024
15:45
Cheltenham Cheltenham
2.15
X
3.40
Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley
3.12

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley

The main points for the tip for Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cheltenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Accrington Stanley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Cheltenham matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley, with Cheltenham as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Accrington Stanley conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Accrington Stanley as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley for the England League 2 – 1 of October

🏟️ Cheltenham X Accrington Stanley – England League 2
πŸ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
πŸ”΅ Cheltenham – Winning probability: 46.55% | Fair line: 2.15
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.85% | Fair line: 3.47
πŸ”΄ Accrington Stanley – Winning probability: 24.60% | Fair line: 4.06
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cheltenham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley

Is it a good idea to bet on Cheltenham?

πŸ”΅ Cheltenham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $540.50;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$10.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $696.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Accrington Stanley?

πŸ”΄ Accrington Stanley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $530.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$220.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cheltenham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Cheltenham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cheltenham.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cheltenham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cheltenham x Accrington Stanley

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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