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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Chertsey Town x Basingstoke Betting tips for October 1 in England Southern Premier League South
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 England Southern Premier League South
Chertsey Town Chertsey Town
PREDICTION Chertsey Town wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Basingstoke Basingstoke
ODD: @2.29 Don't miss this prediction!

Chertsey Town x Basingstoke Betting tips for October 1 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
15:45
Chertsey Town Chertsey Town
2.29
X
3.60
Basingstoke Basingstoke
2.58

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Chertsey Town wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chertsey Town, you can win up to $1145.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke:

๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Chertsey Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Basingstoke scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Chertsey Town matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Basingstoke matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, Chertsey Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Basingstoke conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Basingstoke has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Chertsey Town x Basingstoke?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Chertsey Town x Basingstoke for the England Southern Premier League South – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chertsey Town X Basingstoke – England Southern Premier League South
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต Chertsey Town – Winning probability: 54.13% | Fair line: 1.85
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.26% | Fair line: 4.7
๐Ÿ”ด Basingstoke – Winning probability: 24.61% | Fair line: 4.06
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chertsey Town
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chertsey Town and Basingstoke.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke

Is betting on Chertsey Town worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Chertsey Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $696.60;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$236.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$244.00.

Should you bet on Basingstoke?

๐Ÿ”ด Basingstoke: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $395.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$355.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chertsey Town x Basingstoke

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chertsey Town
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Chertsey Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Chertsey Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Chertsey Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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