Chertsey Town x Basingstoke Betting tips for October 1 in England Southern Premier League South
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1/10/2024 15:45 |
Chertsey Town 2.29 |
X 3.60 |
Basingstoke 2.58 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke:
๐ฎ Chertsey Town wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chertsey Town, you can win up to $1145.00!
Some important points for the tip for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke: ๐ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Chertsey Town scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Chertsey Town x Basingstoke for the England Southern Premier League South – 1 of October
๐๏ธ Chertsey Town X Basingstoke – England Southern Premier League South |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chertsey Town and Basingstoke.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke
Is betting on Chertsey Town worth it?
๐ต Chertsey Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $696.60;
- And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$236.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $546.00;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$244.00.
Should you bet on Basingstoke?
๐ด Basingstoke: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $395.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$355.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chertsey Town x Basingstoke
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chertsey Town
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Chertsey Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Chertsey Town.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Chertsey Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chertsey Town x Basingstoke
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.