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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Chesham x Bishops Cleeve Betting tips for October 1 in England FA Cup Qualification
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 England FA Cup Qualification
Chesham Chesham
PREDICTION Chesham wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Bishops Cleeve Bishops Cleeve
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Chesham x Bishops Cleeve Betting tips for October 1 in England FA Cup Qualification

Our betting tip for Chesham x Bishops Cleeve, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
15:45
Chesham Chesham
1.25
X
5.10
Bishops Cleeve Bishops Cleeve
9.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chesham x Bishops Cleeve:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Chesham wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chesham, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Chesham x Bishops Cleeve:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chesham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Chesham scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Chesham matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Chesham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bishops Cleeve conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Chesham x Bishops Cleeve for the England FA Cup Qualification – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chesham X Bishops Cleeve – England FA Cup Qualification
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต Chesham – Winning probability: 94.68% | Fair line: 1.06
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.86% | Fair line: 25.94
๐Ÿ”ด Bishops Cleeve – Winning probability: 1.47% | Fair line: 68.12
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Chesham
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Chesham x Bishops Cleeve is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chesham x Bishops Cleeve

Is betting on Chesham worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Chesham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 94.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – profiting $237.50;
  • And would have lost other 50 times – with a loss of -$50.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$187.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $164.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$796.00.

Should you bet on Bishops Cleeve?

๐Ÿ”ด Bishops Cleeve: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $84.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$906.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chesham x Bishops Cleeve

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Chesham
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chesham x Bishops Cleeve

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Chesham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Chesham.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chesham x Bishops Cleeve

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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